Saturday, 11 November 2017

Positive Outlook

 Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy, paper trading can be done.

Stocks with Positive Outlook

The Markets has retreated almost 150 (1.25%) points in the past week from its all time highs. Further fall from this levels as correction is expected to be less. Considering the global markets scenario, Indian markets are expected to perform better than previous week.
So, these five stocks from various industries are showing some good potential and are expected to show some good results ahead. So, hereby giving a positive outlook for these five stocks

Wednesday, 8 November 2017

Responsive Industries

Responsive Industries Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy paper trading can be done.+



CMP: 44
TARGET: 50-60
STATUS: POSITIVE



About the Company:
A leading global manufacturer of polyvinyl chloride (PVC) based products. Among the top three producers of vinyl flooring internationally and the largest Indian producer of PVC flooring and artificial leather cloth. At responsive its not just about business, its about the relationship.

Fundamentals:

The stock is having sound fundamentals. For the past five years Responsive have posted good results and is expected to continue. This stock can be considered as one of the growth stocks with a good management.

Outlook:

Expected to post better quarter results. Overall Showing positive signals of upward movement in the price.

Exide Industries



Exide's Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy paper trading can be done.


Status: Positive
CMP: 197
Target: 220-230
About the Company: 
Exide Industries is a storage battery producing company and a life insurance company in India. It manufactures automotive and industrial lead-acid batteries. It has plants in India and Sri Lanka. In 2013, Acquisition of 26% shares of ING Vysya Life Insurance Company adding a total of 100% stake leading to "Exide Life Insurance Company
Analysis:
Quarterly Performance:
The Quarterly performance of Exide battery is picking up. Compared to the past quarters the overall revenue has increased. We should understand that the company has also incurred more costs than the previous quarters. May be the hike in costs can be related as a move of management to increase revenues. Apart from that the overall increase in cost of materials is also a concern. The company has performed well comparing to the peers and is expected to rise up soon.
Other facts:
The steady increase in profit and other revenues are good news for the share holders.  The overall efforts from the management is good and will keep the performance in track. The increasing expenditure is a concern. Exide will be subject to perform as a major supplier for big corporations like Tata. The future also seems pretty bright for exide. If the auto sector is revived from current levels the chances of exide crossing 250 is very near.
The Growing rate of Exide and the performance of the battery industry is expected to give more momentum for the stock. Hence giving a positive outlook for the company.

Monday, 10 July 2017

Performance History

Disclaimer: All Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy, paper trading can be done.

The snapshot form of past 5 stock recommendations.










Most of the stocks are steady from the record date, While the Nifty gave 5 percent return from April.. these stocks have did way better than the market. Techniques of three step and five step buying process would have been very effective.

Sunday, 7 May 2017

SUVEN LIFE SCIENCE Equity Report

Disclaimer: Suven Life science Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy paper trading can be done.









Market Cap: 2400     Crore 52W High: 227    52W Low:149

About the Company:


Suven Life Sciences was promoted by Mrs. and Mr. Venkat Jasti in 1989, as a Private Limited Company. Later it was converted into a Public Limited Company in January 1995. Suven Life Science is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing and commercializing novel pharmaceutical products, which are first in class or best in class therapies through the use of GPCR targets. The Company has six internally–discovered therapeutic drug candidates currently, in pre–clinical stage of development targeting conditions such as ADHD, dementia, depression, Huntington's disease. Parkinson's disease and obesity are in addition to developmental candidate SUVN–502 for Alzheimer's disease and Schizophrenia.
The company’s main thrust is in Contract Research and Manufacturing Services (C–R–A–M–S). Suven's ‘C–R–A–M–S’ is in existence since 1991 serving as many as 22 global Life Science and Fine Chemical Companies by developing and supplying cost effective Pharmaceutical and Agrochemical  Intermediates for New Chemical Entities  (NCE's) meeting world standards of Quality, Speed and Respect for Environment.
Drug Discovery & Development Support Services (DDDSS) aims to provide Contract Drug Discovery & Development services in Medicinal chemistry.

Source: NDTV

Shareholding Pattern






Performance Analysis
The company had a good first quarter accompanied by two bad quarters. The Sales were considerably low and last quarter is expected to perform better to keep up the sales. Good model of management and expert support for the company is advantage and the major sources of revenue have not got dried up. The Promoter Jasti has been continuously buying shares and it is good news for the company. EBITDA sound good but increased expenditure and other finance cost are eating up major share of the profit. The P/E ratio of the company is 36.00 which very close to industry ratio. Beta of stock is 0.90.
YOY the company has been consistent and management has good control over the operations held. The company is expected to post mixed results in the coming quarter but fundamental view is strong and stock is expected to move up. The figures as per the previous annual reports are giving good numbers and expectation for the investors.
Providing Quality service on timely basis is the major advantage of Suven. The CRAMS model is delivering good operations and the services are up to the quality. The Company is having more than 100 active projects and the clients are also pretty happy with the quality of the performance delivered. The R&D Department is outsourced in order to concentrate more on core competencies. In other way the outsourcing has created more expenditure too.
SUVN 502 is in the phase of approval from USFDA and it will be a boost fro the company if approved. Along with that three other are awaiting trials and results. Decline in Long Term borrowings and increase in assets is a good sing for the company. So the key factors are supporting the stock and a better Q4 performance is expected.

Technical Analysis
From technical front increased delivery trading during past trading days are giving positive sign for the stock. Immediate resistance is seen at 195 levels and support is seen at 175 levels. The RSI of the stock is neutral. So some fluctuations and a test of 170 levels can be expected. Even though, the strong support at 160 levels is hard to break.

House View
Suven Life Sciences is expected to break the 195 level soon and reach upto 220 levels in coming quarter. As I said S1-175 and S2-160 are strong support zones and better results can make sure stock won’t go further beyond that level. Considering the operations and financials, Suven is fundamentally a good stock and expected to reach above 200.

CAPLIN LABS Equity Report

Disclaimer: Caplin Labs Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy paper trading can be done.








Company Information:
Caplin Point Laboratories Ltd. manufactures a wide range of Ointments, Creams and other External applications. The company also has a facility for liquid injectables, ophthalmic drugs and lyophilized bio-tech products. Started in the year 1990, Caplin Point Laboratories Ltd. is based in Chennai. It is one of the fastest growing pharmaceutical company in India. The company  is aiming to enter new markets and have already achieved 2000 product licenses across the globe and are awaiting US FDA approval. Caplin Point is able to generate adequate revenue and cash flow to remain debt-free with benchmark receivables, and also continue to invest in state of the art manufacturing facilities from internal accruals. One of the main reasons for the success can be attributed to the wide range of products offered across diverse geographies.

Overview:
Market Cap:  2926 crore
ISIN: INE475E01026
52WK HIGH (RS.) :460
52WK LOW (RS.) 184
EPS (RS.) :6.06
Regd Office: Chennai, Tamil nadu
MD: Dr. Sridhar Ganeshan.
                                                         

Shareholding Pattern:







Performance Analysis

The Performance of the company has been exceptional through past quarters. The Income from major operations like antibiotics, anti- inflammatory analgesics has been constantly improving. Consistency and the model of operations undertaken by the company is good and the overall business is increasing its value. The Enterprise value has increased many folds from its inception and the constant growth is making this stock more attractive. The Expectations from the next quarter is very high and net sales are expected to cross 95' mark. Profit is also expected to increase. Last quarter there was an abnormal increase in Employee cost and this time it is expected to remain little lower. 
Overall the March quarter will be good for the stock.


 The YOY analysis is also pointing to a great year for the stock. Management has good vision and latest operations and the achievements from foreign markets is also good for the stock. The company has increased its presence over globally and are doing pretty good comparing to other pharmaceutical giants.
The P/E ratio of company is high from the industry ratio but the Caplin has delivered good performance and it does not make the stock overvalued. Apart from that the stock is having good fundamentals and are waiting for results.


Revenues from antibiotics is expected to increase. The key sources of revenue like Latin American countries are still strong point. Since the company is positioned itself as create value through self funding, and it is debt free makes it more attractive. the Promoter's stake has increased and the valuations are positive for the stock.
The stock is currently trading at 380 range and are expected to reach 450 to 500 in long term. I see 420 as a reasonable target in short term. The US FDA approval can boost the company and can cause increase in ROE.


Technical Analysis:
The stock is technically strong and a strong support is seen at 375 levels. Immediate resistance is 420 and breaking those levels can make this stock reach 52w High. Investors will be keen to see the results of this quarter. The Overall sentiment to stock is positive. The RSI, MACD and other major technical indicators are showing positive signs for stock. 

HOUSE VIEW:
The results are expected to be positive and one of major driving forces of the stock in this quarter. key Economic reforms and US FDA Approval are expected to be positive for the company. Current global as well as domestic business is going good for the company.
So We can expect better returns from this stock in near future. Caplin Is expected to touch 420 and 500, by 2017 end.








Saturday, 6 May 2017

SNOWMAN LOGISTICS EQUITY REPORT

DisclaimerSnowman Logistics Analysis and recommendation is purely for knowledge purpose and not to consider as any financial advice. Data are collected from various sources and analysed.For testing accuracy paper trading can be done.







About the Company:
Snowman Logistics Limited, founded in 1993, is an integrated pan-India temperature-controlled logistics services provider. Gateway Distriparks Limited, our promoter and largest shareholder, creates a bank of shared knowledge and valuable experience for us to build our operations. Snowman’s investor profile includes Mitsubishi Corporation, Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation, International Finance Corporation and Norwest Venture Partners.Snowman is one of the largest temperature controlled logistics services providers in the country, with an ability to service customers on a pan-India basis. provide value added services such as kitting, labelling, sorting, stuffing and destuffing of containers, packing and bulk breaking. Further, they sort, grade, pack and wash select fruits and vegetables.

The Snowman Edge:
During the IPO itself snowman had catched eyes of many due to its technology backed operation process and the services they provide. Regarding the growth of the industry it was growing at a good 20% per annum and snowman had enough opportunities to cash in. The performance of the stock also witnessed the same in market. The Market price of Snowman went above 100. The presence of Snowman in Temperature Controlled Logistics (TCL) is gaining its importance and are expected to grow in current market scenario.

Analysis:
The Performance of Snowman was pretty bad compared to other financial years. But the stock has corrected and is trading around its fair value. It is obvious that people does not expect much from this stock in coming result and are expected a fresh beginning in coming time. The rising expenses is a problem but income from operations are steady and growing at good rate.

Technical Analysis

The stock is trading below moving averages and trend is slightly sluggish. The consolidation in market and relatively less volatility in economy will keep the stock in current levels. Any positive news to industry like GST or a better than expected quarterly results can uphold the stock. The RSI is at 38 and the stock has potential to revive its current losses and gain more confidence. The Support levels are seen at 56 and 49. Holding or averaging this stock will be good. In medium term the stock will surely cross 70. 

Key Financials:
Market Cap- 1003.36 Crore
ROE%- 4.81

Shareholding Pattern:
Promoter:40.25
FII- 0.95
DII- 0.32
Others: 58.48

House View:
People who looks for fresh buy opportunities should wait. The stock could see support levels of 56. But the expectation of upcoming quarters are positive. Key Economic reforms and GST is expected to boost up the stock. A better than expected Q4 results is also good since the stock is corrected so much. 70 is the target for medium term.